Advanced Battery State-of-Health and Remaining Useful Life Prediction Using Ensemble Machine Learning

Authors

  • Sanjay Byahatti
  • S. G. Ankaliki

Keywords:

Battery health monitoring, Battery Management System (BMS), CatBoost, Ensemble learning, Gradient boosting, LSTM, Machine learning, Neural networks, Predictive maintenance, Random Forest, Real-time prediction, Regression models, Remaining Useful Life (RUL), State of Health (SOH), XGBoost

Abstract

Estimates of battery health and a correct forecast of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) play a vital role in the safety, efficiency, and reliability of battery-based systems, including electric vehicles and portable electronics. In this project, two machine learning solutions are proposed based on both regression and ensemble learning models to forecast the State of Health (SOH) and RUL of lithium-ion batteries. Features, including discharge time, cycle index, and SOH, were calculated using the raw battery cycle data through preprocessing to extract more features. Several models, linear regression model, random forest, gradient boosting, XGBoost, CatBoost, and deep neural and network models, such as LSTM models and feed-forward neural networks, have been trained and assessed according to such metrics as MAE, RMSE, and R 2 score. An ensemble voting regressor was used to tame the insight of the individual models to achieve more accuracy. The findings indicate that, as opposed to standalone models, ensemble learning considerably enhances the performance of prediction. It is possible to extrapolate such a system to real-time applications, which are battery management systems that allow early fault and proactive maintenance. Flask/Streamlit was also used to develop a simple user-interactive web-based interface to enable interaction and real-time SOH and RUL prediction.

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Published

2025-08-22

Issue

Section

Articles