Hybrid Machine Learning-Based Prediction of RUL & Capacity Fade in EV Lithium-Ion Batteries

Authors

  • Sankar P. S.
  • Shreedhar Joshi

Keywords:

(EV) Electric vehicle, Hybrid machine learning, Lithium-ion battery, (LSTM) Long short-term memory, (MAE) Mean absolute error, (MSE) Mean squared error, Random forest, (RMSE) Root mean squared error, (RUL) Remaining use life, (SOH) State of health

Abstract

Lithium-ion batteries power electric vehicles (EVs), but it remains a mystery how to accurately estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) and state of health (SOH) of these batteries due to the complex degradation mechanisms involved. This work presented with hybrid LSTM, a simple neural network, as well as a random forest to predict SOH and RUL accurately. The data were obtained from Kaggle, and then its exploratory data analysis, standard scaling, and 80-20 train-test splitting were done. Some performance assessment indicators such as mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and R² score were used to build and test the individual models. This work showed that the hybrids of the two model systems produced better accuracy and stability than single-mode schemes. SOH (%) and RUL predictions were done using Streamlit to facilitate developed web applications. Through this framework, battery life cycle strategies are improved as well as strategic choices of electric vehicle producers and of consumers interested in safety, cost effectiveness, and sustainability.

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Published

2025-08-01

How to Cite

Sankar P. S., & Shreedhar Joshi. (2025). Hybrid Machine Learning-Based Prediction of RUL & Capacity Fade in EV Lithium-Ion Batteries. Advance Research in Power Electronics and Devices, 31–44. Retrieved from https://matjournals.net/engineering/index.php/ARPED/article/view/2258